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The Player Line / The record
Thirty-six rule pages, read against the six things that matter

What the rule pages actually state about a player market

A market on one person rests on six sentences: what it settles on, what "to play" means, who counts the stat, when the bet is void, what the limit is, and what happens when two counts disagree. A reader who wants to check a single-player market has to find those six sentences, and the samples suggest they are rarely all in the same place.

Desk spec
rule pages
36
settle a player market
22
define "to play"
14
state all six
1
the projectionWhat a player is expected to do: an expected-minutes figure multiplied by a per-90 rate. The sample player is expected to play 78.0 minutes at 1.40 shots on target per 90, so the model expects 1.21 of them rather than the 1.40 a full match would imply.
the participation definitionWhat the operator's rules mean by "to play". Across 400 sampled single-player markets the same bets stand 308 times under "named in the starting XI" and 369 times under "takes the field", so the definition decides whether the bet is settled at all.
the confirmationThe source that counts the stat after the match and the audit behind it. 14 of 1,200 sampled markets were corrected after first publication, 5 of them more than an hour later, and 3 after the payout had already been made.
Direct answer

Of 36 sampled rule pages, 22 settle a single-player market, 14 define "to play", 9 name the data provider, 12 state the void rule, 6 state the lower limit and 8 state the tie rule. Only one page states all six. The most fragile part of a player bet - the definition that voids it - is the one most often missing.

What is written and what is left out

The pattern is consistent: the price and the line are on every page, because they are what the reader came for; the six sentences that decide whether the bet is settled are on some. Settlement and the void rule are the two most commonly stated, at 22 and 12 pages, and the two least commonly stated are the lower limit (6) and the rule that names a provider when the count is disputed (9). A reader who checks a market against all six finds them together once in thirty-six pages.

That shape is the desk's practical point. The projection, the minutes and the line are checkable on the page; the definition, the provider and the tie rule are not, and they are the three that return or decide a bet without the player's performance changing at all. A rule page that states the price and not the definition has stated the part of the market that cannot surprise the reader.

What the samples show

Sample F - 36 rule pages against the six sentences a player market rests on
SentencePagesShareWhat it decides
How a single-player market settles2261.1%The count the bet is graded on
The definition of "to play"1438.9%Whether the bet is settled at all
The data provider named925.0%Which count stands when two disagree
The void rule1233.3%What a return is worth, and when
The lower limit616.7%How much may be staked on one person
The tie rule822.2%What happens when counts disagree
Pages stating all six sentences12.8%The exception, not the rule
sample F - what a reader can actually verify rule pages sampled = 36 pages stating the price = 36 -> 100.0% pages stating the line = 36 -> 100.0% pages stating settlement = 22 -> 61.1% pages stating "to play" = 14 -> 38.9% pages naming the provider = 9 -> 25.0% pages stating all six = 1 -> 2.8% so the two things every reader checks - price and line - are on 100.0% of the pages, and the six things that decide the bet are on a minority of them, together once.
sample F - the missing sentences against the month of 8,000 single-player bets in the month: settled under a stated definition = 8,000 x 38.9% = 3,112 settled under a rule that names a provider = 8,000 x 25.0% = 2,000 settled on a page that states all six = 8,000 x 2.8% = 224 the other bets are settled under rules that exist but were not put in front of the reader: 8,000 - 224 = 7,776 bets, or 97.2%, are graded against a sentence the reader could not have read on the page that offered them the price.
Five things to look for on the page itself
  • A settled definition of "to play", not a description of the player.
  • The named provider whose count settles the market.
  • The void rule, including the form of the return and its timing.
  • The maximum stake for the single-player market, stated separately from the team's.
  • The rule for a disputed count, and whether it names a provider or leaves it to the operator.

Read next

The definitionsThe sentence most often missingThe confirmationThe provider most often unnamedThe tieThe rule most often absentThe numbersEvery figure in one place